Wednesday, May 23, 2012

Private equity explained



There's been a lot of back-and-forth about Mitt Romney's record at Bain Capital and this has mushroomed into a larger debate about private equity ever since Cory Booker self-servingly defended it against that meanie Obama. Most people have only the faintest idea about what companies like Bain Capital do, so I thought it might be nice to give everyone a little background. The attacks on Mitt Romney's record at Bain Capital usually go something like, "he took over my company and laid us all off, and then the company went bankrupt" and they're going to keep coming because there's more than a pebble of truth in it. That being said, it's also a lot more complicated than that because private equity is a bit of an odd business.

The Why (Profits)

It helps to think of Richard Gere's character in Pretty Woman. He's a ruthless corporate raider who buys up companies and strips their assets to sell for a profit. Bain Capital, which Romney helped found, is a private equity company and also makes a lot of its money by buying weak companies. But Bain Capital doesn't usually look for companies to hack to pieces. Bain Capital was created by Mitt Romney and other management consultants from Bain & Company. And management consultants have jobs (at least in theory) because they're the best at optimizing operations and squeezing profits out of the business. So Bain Capital, true to its management consulting roots, buys companies it thinks can be made more profitable, and often looks to invest in its targets for the long haul. But remember that boosting profits means both growing revenue and cutting costs - and in most companies, the biggest cost is people. So laying off workers is one of the surest ways to increase an acquisition's value and that's what Bain Capital did innumerable times. This is not to say that Bain is evil; we're a market economy after all, and many of the companies it took over were very uncompetitive and badly needed restructuring, even if it means they had to jettison workers. And Bain actually had some pretty big success stories like Staples and other companies that have become household names after Bain stepped in.

The How (The LBO)

But private equity has a very particular, very ingenious way of raising the capital needed to buy up companies. It's called a leveraged buyout, and the "leverage" half of the term is finance jargon for "debt." Neither Bain Capital, nor its investors, actually front all the money needed to acquire a target through an LBO. Bain identifies a company that it thinks it can turn around, presents its plan to a bank, and takes out a big loan with a small downpayment. And then it uses the loan to purchase the target's capital.

To use a familiar investment analogy, your bank will let you take out a mortgage on a home, but you must put up the home as collateral in addition to making a downpayment, and the bank can foreclose on and sell the house in the event that you default on your loan. Similarly, Bain's investment might sour, and its bank can come in and liquidate the collateral. The twist in an LBO is that the target's assets, not Bain's assets make up the collateral for the loan. So when a private equity firm buys out a business, that business is immediately saddled with millions of dollars of new debts that will force it into liquidation if its new managers can't turn nurse it back to profitability. The private equity firm and its investors are only liable to the extent of the initial downpayment.

Long story short: when Bain's acquisition takes off, it has a profitable company that it can flip to a new owner for a lot of money. When Bain's investment turns out to be a dud, the company it acquired goes bankrupt and the bank comes in and tries to cut its losses by selling that company's assets at firesale prices.

Private equity is kind of a mixed bag, and you have to admit it can be pretty innovative. But for someone (*ahem* Cory Booker) to say that attacks on private equity are "nauseating," I have to assume that the good mayor simply has an oversensitive gag reflex.

Tuesday, May 8, 2012

Ron Paul Takedown

I just need to vent because I'm obsessed with libertarians (and their retarded cousins, the objectivists) and the more I think about their policies and how many young people of my generation fall for Ron Paul's naive worldview, the more explosively angry I get. That being said, I'm going to be super fair and try not to strawman his positions until I start to blow a fuse halfway through writing this.

1. Ron Paul thinks that we should go back to the gold standard. I'm sorry, since when was the modern global economy centered around mineral extraction? Our economy is not based on gold mining, and tying the money supply to gold extraction/inventories is disastrous policy in that it places a completely arbitrary limit on monetary expansion and a corresponding dampener on economic growth. People who don't understand economics love the idea of gold as currency. It's portable, shiny, and it has nice fuzzy historical associations. It's also not very strong and therefore not incredibly useful for building things so people decided it was a convenient store of value, for lack of a better purpose. But gold, just like any currency (from treasury notes to corporate stocks to municipal bonds), only has value by dint of social convention and legal contract. It makes no sense to impose an artificial mineral brake on a modern money supply that needs to grow in proportion to GDP.

2. Ron Paul thinks that inflation has undermined the USD and destroyed savings wealth. It's true that the USD has lost most of its value in the past century due to inflation... But unless your idea of good monetary policy revolves around protecting the nest eggs of a group of people who live 120 years without spending or investing money and just hoard cash (i.e. gold) under their beds awaiting the next revolution, this is not the most rational point you want to be making. 

3. Ron Paul thinks that you should have a right to buy a semiautomatic assault rifle without a background check and bring it to your local high school auditorium on a concealed-carry permit (though in his reckoning, forcing someone to even apply for that permit is a tyrannical government intrusion on civil rights). 'nuff said - this guy's a loony. 

4. Ron Paul believes that "amnesty" for illegal immigrants will encourage more moral hazard and reward law-breaking. Tough shit. If you were brought to this country illegally as an infant, you were not complicit in any illegal activity and anyone who says otherwise is a fascist racist piece of shit. Besides, how fucking dare anyone question illegal immigrants' love of America? Did you risk your life to come live in this country? I didn't. I was born here and got to enjoy freedom and prosperity by birthright and I can't even imagine what those people lived through so they could wash our toilets and then get insulted by fascist Republican racists like this man.

5. Ron Paul wants to repeal Roe v. Wade and doesn't believe that abortion has ever been needed to save the life of a pregnant woman. Dr. Paul has never heard of an ectopic pregnancy.

6. Ron Paul's energy platform promises to drill for more oil and fight "cap-and-tax" proposals in Congress. Cap-and-trade is a system hatched up by capitalist Republicans to align incentives among polluters by allowing markets to price the cost of carbon emissions. Also, the guy doesn't believe global warming. Maybe we should argue about gravity, evolution, and cosmic microwave background radiation too. 

7. Ron Paul opposes the drug war. Agreed. But what kind of fucked up, reality-contorted universe do you live in to think that this makes up for Points 1 through 6?

I love being a self-righteous liberal, because it makes me better than other people.

Wednesday, March 28, 2012

Thoughts on the health care mandate

I wonder how you'd feel about the nature of liberty, deprivation, and government coercion as a response to health care market failures if you lived a few months in [insert developed country other than USA], where no one has the 'freedom' to opt out of health care and no one is denied life saving treatment because of preexisting conditions or inability to pay.

There are very different ways to be 'free' and for all its faults, I'd argue that government regulation in service of internalizing negative externalities in health care (no, pure markets can't do it) and providing a minimum means of survival for our poorest citizens reflects a far more useful and real understanding of liberty than the narrow abstraction that says freedom means freedom even from coercive mandates to do something that any rational person would do anyway and have no problem with if it weren't called a mandate. Any government that is more wedded to the semantic abstraction of "liberty" than to the substantive, concrete realities here on planet Earth doesn't know what's up.

And to Justices Scalia and Roberts: I'm even comfortable with the logical extremes of my argument. The federal government can and should compel people to eat broccoli. Whether you like it or not, one's personal life choices have broader economic consequences that the constitution empowers the government to regulate.

Saturday, February 18, 2012

Evangelicals are Wahhab Saudis

The way Santorum talks about contraception being "harmful to women and society" and the way his prominent supporter suggested that back in his day not being a slut was the main method of contraception, I feel totally justified in saying that the only difference between conservative evangelicals and Wahhab Sunnis is that one talks about Jesus and the other about Muhammed.

Life imitating art

Amanda Knox (Italian study abroad murder trial) = Roxy Hart (Chicago)

Friday, February 17, 2012

The Two B's

Bailout or bankruptcy? Specifically, the question that Obama faced and what we now know as the very successful auto bailout. (GM produced record profits and Chrysler was back in the red for the first time in over a decade) But Romney would have chosen the second B. Let's be clear: bankruptcy is very kind to a company's shareholders and creditors, and very unforgiving even as it shreds its (contractually obliged) promises to its workers. What else to expect from a Wall Street guy? He was willing to inflict immense pain upon workers whose financial planning would have been completely upended. And he takes that position because people like him believe quite paradoxically that the average well-managed investment portfolio wouldn't be sufficiently diversified to allow it to absorb the loss of some auto company securities. So instead, we should decide to take away the employees' livelihoods. All to spare the rich the indignity of a poor return on investment.

Monday, February 13, 2012

This would never happen at a Romney event

The first questioner wanted to know what the candidate was going to do for his wife, Callista, on Valentine’s Day. Gingrich said they would have a private dinner, hopefully exchange gifts and “reconnect a little bit,” which drew whoops from the crowd and led Gingrich to say: “No more details.”